Tuesday, July 24, 2012
NFL Football Betting: Why You Must Look at This
By Zavier I. Raebel
The saying that "any team can win on a given Sunday" definitely holds true in the NFL, in which equality reigns supreme and also watered down talent help it become hard for most teams to field a competitive lineup every week over the course of a period. An injury to a crucial player usually can have a serious effect on a team's ability to win and also due to expansion, depth isn't exactly what it once was. And that is why the money line bet is really appealing.
A simple recap for all those not familiar with the way it works. Each week, the sportsbook produces NFL game odds to be able to entice a much amount of betting on each side of any match-up. They create their money (10%) on what's referred to as rake.
In theory, sportsbooks do not care about the outcome of any game, even though for those of you who actually bet on the Steelers (-5.5) last season versus the Chargers and also saw a game winning TD returned simply by S Troy Palumalu since the game expired reversed, therefore negating a seven point victory and placing the final at 11-10, you might think usually, however this is just how it's intended to be. And by the way, sportsbooks made a killing on that end result. But back to the money line, in which the point spread makes no difference; you're taking a team, either the favored or perhaps underdog, and all that matters would be the final score.
If you take a favorite who is (-325), you have got to gamble $325 if you want to earn $100. On the other hand, the underdog in that scenario might pay out $325 for every $100 you place down. In the previous, while the odds are much on your side, the gain is actually considerably less compared to the cost of the particular bet. The second is where the real possibilities lies.
So what's the most effective strategy when picking the underdog on money line? All of the same aspects as our own point spread edition as well as momentum. Late last season, the Falcons headed straight into San Diego as the 4.5 point underdog, +180 on the money line. They were our money line bet of that week.
Here's the criteria we utilized to settle on them for our pick:
Teams: the Chargers could not get free from their very own way over the very first 3 quarters of year; the defense was dreadful and the offense couldn't find the appropriate stability to win games. The unexpected, surging Falcons, came into town winners of three of their previous four games.
Teams record on Road/Home: The Falcons were 2 and 3 on the move (7-4 in general) while your Chargers were just Three and 2 at home ( 4-7 in general).
Date: The game was played in the 13th week of year, when teams start to make their playoff push, so a whole lot was on the line for both groups.
Weather: The weather was not a problem in San Diego. It is usually mild in November and December in addition to both teams are used to playing in excellent weather conditions.
Momentum: The Falcons had won 5 of the previous seven games and also were collecting steam while the Chargers, heading within the other direction, had lost five of the previous 7 contests, and three consecutively.
Consensus: The final score was 22-16, even though the 6 point margin of victory was not indicative of how lopsided the event actually was. Atlanta beat them in each and every facet of the game and also took control in the very first quarter on, making us winners of our money line bet.
If you adhere to this strategy over the course of the season to recognize which games you will bet on, you will probably find more times than not that picking the underdog with all the money line is definitely more appealing than taking the points.
A simple recap for all those not familiar with the way it works. Each week, the sportsbook produces NFL game odds to be able to entice a much amount of betting on each side of any match-up. They create their money (10%) on what's referred to as rake.
In theory, sportsbooks do not care about the outcome of any game, even though for those of you who actually bet on the Steelers (-5.5) last season versus the Chargers and also saw a game winning TD returned simply by S Troy Palumalu since the game expired reversed, therefore negating a seven point victory and placing the final at 11-10, you might think usually, however this is just how it's intended to be. And by the way, sportsbooks made a killing on that end result. But back to the money line, in which the point spread makes no difference; you're taking a team, either the favored or perhaps underdog, and all that matters would be the final score.
If you take a favorite who is (-325), you have got to gamble $325 if you want to earn $100. On the other hand, the underdog in that scenario might pay out $325 for every $100 you place down. In the previous, while the odds are much on your side, the gain is actually considerably less compared to the cost of the particular bet. The second is where the real possibilities lies.
So what's the most effective strategy when picking the underdog on money line? All of the same aspects as our own point spread edition as well as momentum. Late last season, the Falcons headed straight into San Diego as the 4.5 point underdog, +180 on the money line. They were our money line bet of that week.
Here's the criteria we utilized to settle on them for our pick:
Teams: the Chargers could not get free from their very own way over the very first 3 quarters of year; the defense was dreadful and the offense couldn't find the appropriate stability to win games. The unexpected, surging Falcons, came into town winners of three of their previous four games.
Teams record on Road/Home: The Falcons were 2 and 3 on the move (7-4 in general) while your Chargers were just Three and 2 at home ( 4-7 in general).
Date: The game was played in the 13th week of year, when teams start to make their playoff push, so a whole lot was on the line for both groups.
Weather: The weather was not a problem in San Diego. It is usually mild in November and December in addition to both teams are used to playing in excellent weather conditions.
Momentum: The Falcons had won 5 of the previous seven games and also were collecting steam while the Chargers, heading within the other direction, had lost five of the previous 7 contests, and three consecutively.
Consensus: The final score was 22-16, even though the 6 point margin of victory was not indicative of how lopsided the event actually was. Atlanta beat them in each and every facet of the game and also took control in the very first quarter on, making us winners of our money line bet.
If you adhere to this strategy over the course of the season to recognize which games you will bet on, you will probably find more times than not that picking the underdog with all the money line is definitely more appealing than taking the points.
Posted by AppleFanatic at 1:19 AM
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